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Academic studies reveal a reoccurring trend in financial crises. Extrapolation occurs when investors and borrowers expect previous conditions to persist. These processes result in self-reinforcing uptrends in credit, investment markets, and the economy, causing the value of investment assets to degrade (the connection of prices to fundamentals).
When optimistic beliefs are disappointed, market crashes and financial crises occur. Economic development slowing is a common source of sadness. Historically, most equities bear markets have been summarized as stocks were expensive, and then there was a recession.
Earnings growth drives stock prices, and stock prices drive economic growth. As a result, changes in the economy and stock values are tightly related. Polysharp Investments Limited collects the most relevant economic statistics from the fourteen nations with the highest GDP to follow developments in the global economy. We utilize the data to construct a comprehensive picture of economic outcomes.
The success of early adopters like Yale has spawned a slew of imitators! Since 1985, Yale University has earned an impressive yearly return of 13% or higher. In contrast, institutions' average/median return is lower than the results of entire stock/bond index portfolios. Maybe the Yale model isn't that easy to reproduce. Based on our research and evaluation of the endowment model, we feel the time has come to consider the following:
The IMF provides the skills, concepts, and principles required to compile and disseminate macroeconomic and financial statistics.
The IMF Data Portal offers a range of data on topics such as the World Economic Outlook, International Finance Statistics, and Global Financial Stability Report.
The BEA provides national, regional, and international economic accounts that present essential information on critical issues such as U.S. economic growth, regional economic development, and the nation's position in the world economy.
The BEA's statistics and data come in multiple forms, from static tables to downloadable data files for statistical analysis.
Refinitiv Datastream offers macroeconomic analysis tools that help economists, research analysts, and investment strategists explore trends, generate and test investment and research hypotheses, and develop viewpoints.
Datastream features 120 years of data across 175 countries, including 8.5 million active economic indicators, and offers unique content such as I/B/E/S Estimates aggregates, Worldscope Fundamentals, point-in-time data, and Reuters Polls.
Macroeconomic data can include aggregate values of economic flows at the level of the entire economy, such as GDP and national income.
Investors can gain insights into overall market risk by analyzing macroeconomic data and making allocation decisions accordingly. For example, if data indicates a potential economic downturn, investors may allocate more of their portfolio to defensive assets such as bonds or cash. Conversely, investors may allocate more to growth assets such as stocks or real estate if the data shows a strong economy.